Is Footwear Bangladesh’s Next Export Tiger?

Is Footwear Bangladesh’s Next Export Tiger?

May 5, 2016

Although RMG provides 80% of Bangladesh’s total exports, several sectors have popped up over the last decade which represent potential for greater export diversification. Footwear is one such sector. Footwear exports have grown almost 10 times over the last decade, from 68 million USD in 2004 to 673 million USD in 2015. With eyes set on lucrative markets such as the EU, USA and India, Bangladesh’s footwear industry is in a prime position to play a larger role in Bangladesh’s export fortunes over the next decade. This is due, in part, to robust backward linkages, especially leather sourcing.

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Robust Industry Growth Matched by Growing Global Apetite

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Bangladesh’s footwear industry has experienced a meteoric rise since the last decade. With a CAGR of 25.76% per year, total footwear exports grew from 68 million USD in 2004 to 673 million USD in 2015. This growth parallels the current growth of the global footwear market, which is currently forecasted to grow to 211 billion USD by 2018. At the moment, Bangladesh only holds 0.5% of this market.

Strong Backward Linkages to the Leather Industry

The growth of the local footwear industry is boosted to a large extent by the growth of the overall leather industry. Recently, total export has exceeded USD 1 billion mark in 2014 for the leather sector which has been due to rising global demand and renewed interest amongst local entrepreneurs for manufacturing footwear. Some international investors have forayed in the sector setting up factories in local Export Processing Zones (EPZs).

The strong leather industry in Bangladesh gives unique advantages to the footwear industry, as there is the opportunity of total vertical integration in the value chain, from raw leather to the final product.

 For instance, Bangladesh produces superior quality leather from local livestock, which is subsequently processed by tanneries concentrated around the capital city. The annual production of leather hovers around 250 Million square feet each year with supply peaking during the religious festivals of Eid, especially Eid-ul-Adha.

 The tanneries in Bangladesh have often come under criticism for being environmentally unfriendly. This has prompted the government to build a 200-acre Leather Industrial Park in Savar at a cost of USD 60 Million. The park will include state of art Effluent Treatment Plants (ETPs) to treat the waste generated while processing the leather in the tanneries.

Demand Deficit in the Leather Industry Can be Filled by Expanding Footwear Sector

As the majority of leather is exported to the EU (54%), the recent decline in demand in EU market of leather hides has adversely affected the Bangladesh leather market.

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This decline in demand has been reflected in a fall in global hide prices, prompting local buyers being less likely to buy the raw hides as well. As a result, 40% of the hides bought by tannery warehouses since last Eid-ul-Adha is still unsold.
If this global demand deficit persists, then there is an opportunity for the rawhide sellers to shift their focus to local footwear manufacturers, provided that the expanding footwear industry also has matching demand for their excess hide supply.

The Emergence of Non-Leather Footwear as an Export Sector

The crackdown on compliance in the leather industry, especially the insistence on shifting tanneries from Hazaribagh to Savar, has prompted many footwear manufacturers to try their hand in the non- leather footwear sub-sector, which, at the moment, is free from such regulation.

Over the years, Bangladesh has emerged as a leading exporter of quality, low price non-leather footwear to key global retailers such as H&M, Decathlon, Kappa, Sketchers, Fila, and Puma. Exports from this sector stood at 171.57 million USD in FY 13-14.

This shift is also driven by the comparatively low input costs of non-leather footwear. While a leather shoe costs $9 to make, a pair of non-leather shoes can cost as low as $3.2.

Opportunities for Growth in Asian Markets

The growing middle class segments in key Asian markets such as China and India means that products such as footwear are going to be increasingly seen as more brand and status-driven instead of being necessities. This will create the opportunity to market higher value products to these regions.

In fact, there is good potential for growth in Bangladesh’s domestic market as well. Rising per capita income, along with the growing MAC segment, shows encouraging signs for both entry level and higher value products in the future.

Targeting the Top Export Destinations

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A good strategy for footwear manufacturers would be shift their focus to the top export destinations in the long run. At the moment, the EU is the largest export destination of Bangladesh’s footwear industry. However, even in 2013 only 4 EU countries (Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy) feature in the top 10 global footwear markets (source: Euromonitor).

To gain a greater share of the pie, Bangladeshi footwear manufacturers should target both established top markets such as USA, China and Japan and also emerging markets such as Mexico, which will be thriving by 2018.

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